Skripsi

PENERAPAN MODEL ARIMA UNTUK PREDIKSI TINGKAT PERCERAIAN BULANAN PADA PENGADILAN AGAMA DI SUMATERA SELATAN

---

Penilaian

---

Predicting the divorce rate is important to be done because the data has a trend in numbers that change every month. So that court officials or social scientists in developing effective strategies to overcome marriage problems, allocate resources, or support families who need counseling, can be prepared in advance, especially at the Religious Courts of South Sumatra in order to reduce the divorce rate because the purpose of marriage is not to divorce. The aim of this research is to describe a suitable model for predicting divorce rates using Autoreggressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Method. The results of the research are ARIMA best model used is (1,0,2) and (2,0,2), with levels error 0.48% by using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). It can also be said that the accuracy level of applying ARIMA to predict the monthly divorce rate in the Religious Courts of South Sumatra is 99.52%. The author also compares ARIMA model with other time series methods, Fuzzy time series, with an error rate of MAPE 0.82% which is greater than ARIMA.

---

Availability

Inventory Code	Barcode	Call Number	Location	Status
2407003715	T145208	T1452082024	Central Library (REFERENCES)	Available but not for loan - Not for Loan

Detail Information

Series Title

-

Call Number

T1452082024

Publisher

Indralaya : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Komputer, Fakultas Ilmu Komputer UNSRI., 2024

Collation

xiii, 52 hlm.; ilus.; tab.; 29 cm

Language

Indonesia

ISBN/ISSN

-

Classification

173.07

Content Type

Text

Media Type

unmediated

Carrier Type

unspecified

Edition

-

Subject(s)

Program Studi Magister Ilmu Komputer
ARIMA model

Specific Detail Info

-

Statement of Responsibility

UIN YOLA

Other version/related

File Attachment

Comments

---

You must be logged in to post a comment